Thursday will feature temperatures near 40 followed some rain Thursday night. After some snow on Monday, a clipper system will move southeast through the eastern Great Lakes Tuesday but its moisture will entirely miss New England and much of Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday will be precipitation free. A healthy area of cold remains across much of Eastern Canada while a building upper ridge across the Mid Atlantic and Southeast U.S. While practical in nature, the book also provides a philosophical perspective on data analysis in medicine that goes beyond predictive modeling. Above is an analysis chart, depicting current conditions across the region. Analysis of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean this morning shows the split of Chantal, with two tropical waves moving through the central Caribbean. A weak clipper Thursday night, passing well to the region’s north will spread some limited moisture and very light snow to the mountain and an inch or two of accumulation by early Friday.

High dewpoints in the area, combined with temperatures hovering immediately around those dewpoints should make for an unusually wet situation, as such a slim margin between the two brings about enhanced concerns for flooding. Blustery conditions prevail for the duration of Friday and those winds will introduce another night of sub-zero temperatures. Offshore, in the immediate vicinity of a particularly strong band that is moving to the north is producing winds above 40 MPH, making for a dangerous situation for workers on the oil rigs. We can see very tight wrapping of the winds spread across the region, with surface winds surpassing 20 MPH in some areas. There are a few easy steps with the help of which you can actually go on to test quality and functionality of the cabinet handles for Kitchen. Though kitchen handles are integral to your kitchen, they are often the most ignored as well.

And if you are driving around, look for a topless blonde passenger today. It is the only real piece of semi-lousy news I could come up with today. This particular piece of energy might be capable of grabbing some southern stream moisture as it heads toward the eastern seaboard. There were hints that some overrunning moisture associated with a push of warmer temperatures might impact the mountain and this will occur but much farther north. Other packages of weather might certainly outperform the NAO and similar indices. Rainy weather is expected across the Southeast, however. As of late last week, it appeared as if Vermont and much of New England would be ground zero for a battleground of airmasses and weather conditions. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation has soared to near record positive levels making it very difficult to position any type of upper ridge across eastern North America for any significant length of time, even when the ensembles suggest as much. And lastly, the presence and absence of the southern branch of the jet has wreaked havoc on the longer range ensembles.

Model guidance from statistical models (some global models are no longer tracking Chantal, as she is no longer a tropical cyclone) indicates this northern wave should make landfall as a rain event in the Southeast. Let me emphasize that Chantal’s remnants are unlikely to reform and make landfall. This is considered to be the main part of Chantal’s remnants that will likely move north-northwest towards the Southeast coast. If this does indeed occur, the system is expected refocus itself along the coast and intensify Sunday. Either scenario means some snow for the mountain Sunday night into Monday since we will either get it from the decaying clipper (a light accumulation) or more from the rapidly intensifying coastal system. So lets get to it. If you integrate through time and get something significantly wrong 5 days out, even something seemingly subtle, the dominos start to fall and errors magnify exponentially 10 days out. The later part of MLK days into Tuesday Jan 20 looks substantially colder with temperatures only the teens by day and sub-zero by night.