The tropical wave in dashed lines is the northern portion of the two. Vermont and much of Northern New England will be on the northern edge of this developing pattern and at times we will see the effects of this and at times colder air push the milder air southward again. The later part of MLK days into Tuesday Jan 20 looks substantially colder with temperatures only the teens by day and sub-zero by night. By Thursday afternoon milder air will make a push into the region and temperatures should make a push toward 40 degrees. Many countries are not even meeting those commitments, and political will is lacking, Guterres said. You may even come across a nest while you’re on your hike. And while parents may be eager to buy their kids the latest tech toy, another study indicates that kids don’t necessarily prefer a virtual dog over a stuffed one.

In one of our recent discussions, we talked about, to put it kindly, the erratic performance of some of the medium range ensembles this winter. Beyond April 6th, the ensembles are strongly indicating the development of a much warmer pattern across much of the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic States. There were hints that some overrunning moisture associated with a push of warmer temperatures might impact the mountain and this will occur but much farther north. This particular piece of energy might be capable of grabbing some southern stream moisture as it heads toward the eastern seaboard. After some snow on Monday, a clipper system will move southeast through the eastern Great Lakes Tuesday but its moisture will entirely miss New England and much of Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday will be precipitation free. Saturday appears on the chilly side but free of snow. Temperatures will be on the cold side of seasonable between Tuesday and Thursday morning, generally staying below freezing even during the day and falling into the teens at night.

Sub-zero temperatures during each of both Wednesday and Thursday morning will get boosted into the teens Wednesday and 20’s Thursday by healthy dose of sunshine. Either scenario means some snow for the mountain Sunday night into Monday since we will either get it from the decaying clipper (a light accumulation) or more from the rapidly intensifying coastal system. There are still some signs of a 2nd piece to this storm system, though in recent days this system appears weaker and less threatening. From there, the storm systems would likely ride the jet stream south and eject into the southern Plains, before being forced north by another area of high pressure in the Southeast U.S. There is simply a lot of cold air that has pooled at the high latitudes and it is fighting hard to move south in spite of whatever weather pattern is present. But they share the same weather.

The same storm has pummeled the U.S. Do this all spring and summer and document the amount of rain collected on the same piece of paper. 2 summer and winter consequences, as well as forecasts in the past that indicated we were supposed to be well into an El Nino by now, I’m pretty skeptical on the idea of an El Nino. Generally speaking, many of the super-warm ideas that have been indicated on some of the long range weather maps have failed due to feedbacks related to that big expansion of snow and ice that we saw leading up the winter. This keeps you in command and results in less weather helm and fatigue for your sailing crew. As of late last week, it appeared as if Vermont and much of New England would be ground zero for a battleground of airmasses and weather conditions. All this happening as an activated jet stream pushes at least one big organized storm system into the plains and ultimately toward New England. We will keep you up to date with the latest weather information on this system.

Considering the new computers acquired by the National Weather Service, this resolution gap is inexcusable. Specifically as it relates to the weather beyond a week out. From there, the system will either head out over the ocean or remain close enough to the coast to spread rain along the coast and snow in some of the elevated interior areas such as MRG. Looking at the panels, pressure tendencies have been falling in the past few hours, indicating a strengthening of the system. Looking beyond the 22nd, the teleconnection support gets a little better, mainly since the positive NAO will be reduced while PNA ridging in western North America is maintained. If resultant ridging forms in the East, the jet stream then bends north, to enable frigidly cold air to strike the Central/East US, also driving the storm track through that area. In a day or two, I’ll have a better idea as to amounts of snow when we know for sure whether or not this storm will come to fruition.