As a result of the proximity and strength of this storm to the Northeast, accumulating snow is likely along these areas. Accumulating snow appears to be in the forecast for parts of the Ohio Valley and Northeast tonight into tomorrow morning. Currently, the models and NHC forecast Dolly to follow a track similar to that of Claudette during the period July 8-17th in 2003. All-in-all it should be an interesting weather week. The way to prevent ice dams is to make sure your gutters are clear before the really serious weather hits. The three models certainly have some key differences in the projected pattern for the eight to ten day period, but there are a few similarities to be gleaned from the guidance. Or, maybe you just want the kids to come and have a good time. The expected movement into Phases 3 and 4 of the MJO by the middle of the month suggests warmer than normal temperatures for much of the United States around the same time period. Recent forecasts reveal that Glasgow weather in October will experience polar air in the latter half of the month probably bringing along winter showers attempting to reach up to Edinburgh.

But what should we be on the lookout for at the end of the month? The NAM forecasts the west end of this feature to become a distinct upper-cyclone that moves westward across northern Mexico on Wednesday and Thursday. There is a strong upper-tropospheric shear zone at 200 mb from somewhere near the southern end of the Gulf of California that extends east-northeast through the Mexican data void, and then across southeast Texas and southern Arkansas. For one, all three models indicate the presence of a Rex Block in western Canada into Alaska and the Gulf of Alaska, albeit to varying magnitudes. In western countries there are futurists of great fame whose 99% predictions come true. The same is true of course for cyclones and hurricanes, and tornadoes and dust storms. The flow at 200 mb becomes more diffluent, initially from the east-northeast on Wednesday and then from the southeast on Thursday. The most interesting aspects of this morning’s charts and the model forecasts relate to what will occur on Wednesday through Friday.

But here are the forecasts for 5 and 10 days out. Just as this post began with the stratosphere, it will close out with the stratosphere. Atmospheric oscillations, the stratosphere, and medium-term weather model guidance agree on warmer than normal temperatures more likely than colder than normal temperatures in the eastern two-thirds of the country through at least mid-January. Eg. If it is a kitchen room wall opposite glass windows that leads to a sunny, chirpy mood throughout, an antique wall painting, however beautiful may more often than not, look out of place. However, he said the pilgrimage is going on smoothly despite heavy snowfall and all necessary arrangements have been put in place to facilitate the devotees who are thronging the cave shrine atop Trikuta hills from across the country. Follow the steps above, fly reasonable and you’ll have no problems at all. Lots of worked-out problems solved with and easy-to-follow- step-by-step framework. It then appears that the remnants of TS/Hurricane Dolly (see Fig. 3) will affect southern Arizona on Friday and perhaps Saturday.

This morning conditions over most of Arizona remain very moist and the TWC morning sounding (Fig. 1 – link below) indicates a subtropical air mass with just over 50 mm of IPW. Summers are normally very warm, as people grab for air conditioners or open their freezer doors to get a tiny cold breeze to beat the summer heat. What’s more, people are likely to get sunburned between 10 am and 4 pm, when the sun’s rays are the strongest. This is ideal for people who live near busy roads or in vibrant areas and seek to create a more tranquil setting within their home. Their bites are usually nothing more than painful. Gmail is awesome. There are 20-30 different applications all for free in one suite. The El Nino force is strong with this one. The latest central Pacific tropical sea surface temperature index (Nino 3.4) shows that this powerful El Nino has peaked and slowly declining. Slight Risk of severe weather over North Plains into the Central Plains, with lesser threat in Ohio Valley into Oklahoma region.